Scenario 6

Chemical Attack –

Toxic Industrial Chemicals

Casualties	350 fatalities; 1000 hospitalizations
Infrastructure Damage	50% of structures in area of explosion
Evacuations/Displaced Persons	10,000 evacuated 1000 seek shelter in safe areas 25,000 instructed to temporarily shelter in place as plume moves across region 100,000 self-evacuate out of region
Contamination	Yes
Economic Impact	Billions of dollars
Potential for Multiple Events	Yes
Recovery Timeline	Months

Scenario General Description

In this scenario, terrorists from the Universal Adversary (UA) represented by Fariqallah, a radical Shi’ite Muslim group, conduct a standoff weapon attack on a POL refinery. At the same time, multiple Vehicle-Borne Improvised Explosive Devices (VBIEDs) area detonated in a local port, targeting the Coast Guard station, and two merchant vessels unloading at pier side. Two of the ships contain flammable liquids or solids. Cobalt, nickel, molybdenum, cadmium, mercury, vanadium, platinum, and other metals will be released in plumes from their burning cargoes. One of the burning ships contains industrial chemicals including isocyanides, nitrides, and epoxy resins. Casualties occur onsite due to explosive blast fragmentation, fire, and vapor/liquid exposure to Toxic Industrial Chemicals (TICs). Downwind casualties occur due to vapor exposure.